Vol. 9, Special Issue 11, Part B (2025)

Weather driven multiple regression model for stage-dependent yield prediction in pigeonpea

Author(s):

Tushar Ranjan Mohanty, Chinmaya Kumar Sahu, Gourisankar Panigrahi, Tilottama Nag, B Jyoshna, Meenakshi Mohanty and Prasanna Kumar Samant

Abstract:

A field experiment was conducted at the Instructional Farm of the College of Agriculture, Odisha University of Agriculture and Technology (OUAT), Bhubaneswar, to quantify the relationships between environment as influenced by sowing dates and the growth, phenological development, and grain yield of pigeonpea (Cajanus cajan L. Millsp.) varieties. The experiment comprised four sowing dates (21st October, 3rd November, 16th November, and 29th November) and four pigeonpea varieties (TDRG-59, GRG-152, GT-104, and Pant A-7). Results revealed that grain yield was significantly influenced by sowing dates, with the earliest sowing (21st October) producing the highest yield (939 kg ha⁻¹), which was statistically at par with the 3rd November sowing (878 kg ha⁻¹). Delayed sowing on 29th November resulted in the lowest grain yield (681 kg ha⁻¹), representing a 27.5% reduction compared to the earliest sowing date. As the date of sowing delayed, there was decrease in accumulation of GDD, HTU & PTU values so as to reach different phenological stages across the sowing dates at Bhubaneswar agro-climatic conditions, except for PTI. The multiple linear regression models explained 46-66% of yield variability (R² values), with the mid to late pod formation stage model showing the highest accuracy (R² = 0.66). Predicted yields closely matched observed values, with errors as low as 0.1-0.8% for specific variety-sowing combinations, enabling forecasts one to one and a half months of pre-harvest. The weather-index-based regression models provide a reliable, statistical tool for timely yield prediction, aiding farmers in agronomic decision-making and resource optimization amid climate variability.

Pages: 128-133  |  141 Views  86 Downloads

How to cite this article:
Tushar Ranjan Mohanty, Chinmaya Kumar Sahu, Gourisankar Panigrahi, Tilottama Nag, B Jyoshna, Meenakshi Mohanty and Prasanna Kumar Samant. Weather driven multiple regression model for stage-dependent yield prediction in pigeonpea. Int. J. Adv. Biochem. Res. 2025;9(11S):128-133. DOI: 10.33545/26174693.2025.v9.i11Sb.6206